Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.636297 0.753085 0.880024 1.027603 1.193792 1.374487 1.585129
2025-06-29 0.410936 0.560819 0.741407 0.971803 1.254515 1.586639 2.002589
2025-07-06 0.291410 0.455141 0.671964 0.971921 1.367223 1.861169 2.514815
2025-07-13 0.214204 0.380605 0.621132 0.978602 1.479170 2.137153 3.046972
2025-07-20 0.163168 0.327842 0.585958 0.994757 1.597753 2.424516 3.609271
2025-07-27 0.124965 0.283533 0.552185 1.003424 1.700760 2.692765 4.158465
2025-08-03 0.090672 0.234904 0.500232 0.973392 1.739091 2.867858 4.584759
2025-08-10 0.069301 0.203680 0.470357 0.971911 1.816544 3.099785 5.099406
2025-08-17 0.049881 0.169190 0.426525 0.938591 1.837126 3.244569 5.491245
2025-08-24 0.038499 0.148947 0.405434 0.941088 1.913892 3.476339 6.019629
2025-08-31 0.029228 0.130060 0.382682 0.936268 1.975847 3.686099 6.521907
2025-09-07 0.024425 0.122035 0.381921 0.973166 2.112200 4.020244 7.227909
2025-09-14 0.019081 0.109986 0.370243 0.988679 2.215331 4.312408 7.892491
2025-09-21 0.013467 0.093266 0.343077 0.968309 2.251340 4.496756 8.397755
2025-09-28 0.010313 0.084053 0.333065 0.983431 2.355061 4.800525 9.107871
2025-10-05 0.007813 0.075656 0.323027 0.996802 2.455886 5.103819 9.828890
2025-10-12 0.005988 0.068951 0.316083 1.016127 2.569365 5.433919 10.605818
2025-10-19 0.004429 0.061920 0.306023 1.026227 2.664316 5.734881 11.344265
2025-10-26 0.002812 0.051628 0.281553 0.996212 2.673078 5.880336 11.824701
2025-11-02 0.001927 0.045395 0.269078 0.994943 2.741634 6.136815 12.502103
2025-11-09 0.001116 0.037293 0.246053 0.961108 2.736026 6.254414 12.942536
2025-11-16 0.000733 0.033007 0.236718 0.963696 2.810413 6.524376 13.655956
2025-11-23 0.000447 0.028725 0.225483 0.958806 2.867027 6.762236 14.319626